Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 3.134683 3.489523 3.873760 4.321663 4.830584 5.392169 6.060576
2025-03-09 2.573059 3.039751 3.581075 4.258822 5.089456 6.080372 7.361071
2025-03-16 2.217015 2.735289 3.367652 4.202906 5.287376 6.661808 8.557984
2025-03-23 2.050365 2.622926 3.351860 4.359551 5.734720 7.572457 10.259630
2025-03-30 1.860840 2.451730 3.230662 4.348913 5.940054 8.164335 11.583932
2025-04-06 1.698792 2.295939 3.107260 4.311183 6.088713 8.675669 12.837702
2025-04-13 1.505199 2.076768 2.872693 4.086315 5.933901 8.714977 13.364724
2025-04-20 1.408493 1.984381 2.806615 4.095704 6.121142 9.278697 14.775673
2025-04-27 1.344640 1.932879 2.793262 4.179134 6.425113 10.050012 16.620919
2025-05-04 1.286793 1.884647 2.779022 4.256765 6.722956 10.837427 18.592933
2025-05-11 1.227406 1.828815 2.747387 4.301353 6.966857 11.554930 20.530779
2025-05-18 1.170631 1.772360 2.709436 4.330286 7.183649 12.243659 22.503914
2025-05-25 1.086035 1.667665 2.589136 4.214793 7.143951 12.479909 23.658468
2025-06-01 1.022589 1.592760 2.511903 4.166348 7.219118 12.936356 25.326535
2025-06-08 0.964330 1.522302 2.436662 4.114185 7.280662 13.370871 27.010625
2025-06-15 0.947524 1.519420 2.474805 4.267464 7.743735 14.646041 30.730619
2025-06-22 0.904292 1.468710 2.426517 4.257173 7.886978 15.287377 33.116981
2025-06-29 0.860320 1.413880 2.367034 4.220378 7.972568 15.815784 35.320820
2025-07-06 0.791913 1.312452 2.218116 4.000962 7.665031 15.463747 35.311880
2025-07-13 0.762344 1.278027 2.188081 4.010124 7.833053 16.176267 38.106857
2025-07-20 0.744900 1.264165 2.194574 4.091538 8.161660 17.289665 42.148397
2025-07-27 0.727612 1.249463 2.198319 4.167286 8.485015 18.430763 46.484163
2025-08-03 0.707129 1.227622 2.186993 4.210791 8.740472 19.441307 50.651296